February 20, 2008

The Wireless Road Ahead

roadahead.jpgSo Verion, AT&T, T-Mobile and Sprint have launched the trend that will change their industry. So what does this do to the telecommunications scene? Its obvious for the wireless industry. We mentioned it previously. But what about land line, VoIP, etc?

VoIP –

  • Man their life just got harder. In a situation where someone was using a wireless plan local and VoIP for national calling that is about to fall apart. The consumer could apply their Vonage $$ to their wireless plan and go unlimited on a single instrument.
  • As a business model standalone VoIP is toast. As a technology it will survive. But as a enabler to carrier technologies.
  • Google’s Grand Central maybe the alternative that represents VoIP. Gmail has already inegrated IM and voice.
  • SIP as a VoIP sister will also survive. But its use will be layered under integrated, unified portals be it cell, mail systems or textual contexts or an amalgam of all of them.

Landline POTS –

  • The exodus for primary lines will go from single digits to double digits in a year. That will make their POTS debt structure harder to sustain.
  • A battle is going to occur between the Telcos and the Federal Government on ‘Carrier of Last Resort’ provisions. Though the carriers get compensated for doing so it won’t be enough to offset the capital drain to maintain older technology or upgrading low density areas on a long term basis.
  • The cross over point. At some period in the near future the Telcos are going to be earning more income on broadband and its services than on POTS. When that occurs and penetration of broadband is over 50% they will again wish to move off the old technology even in profitable POTs areas. Fiber is cheaper to maintain and they will wish to go there.

700mhz –

  • The unlimited plans set the upper marker for similar services in the pending 700mhz band. To get any further funding out of the customer will require new differentiated services.
  • To encourage a customer to switch to the 700mhz services the costs will also have to be cheaper just to forestall some of the switching costs.
  • Quality of Service better be better! Wireless still has problems with QoS. A clearer connection would be a fair customer inducement.
  • Penetration. Can’t expect it initially, but at some point the new kid will have to have penetration levels comparable to wireless today. Its the price of ante long term.

Other –

  • As a practical matter does it make sense to continue a 10 digit number scheme? In a world where the cell morphs into the communicator and its use transcends just cell telephony the old 10 digit system might be passe. It might just as identifying for someone to use their XXXXXXX@gmail.com name as a number.
  • Routing services evolve away from SS7 of the PSTN world. An enhanced RADIUS-like metadirectory structure takes over so that the directory system is unified and extensible and possibly even user modifiable. XML like tools and structures make that possible.

And so it begins…

Compilation by admin and Dr. Dog.

Don’t always focus on saving money at the outset; such as in the process of domain registration. Unless your website design is not attractive; it can’t appeal your visitors to stay there. Also bear in mind the tracking of internet connectivity i.e. dsl or ISP types of your visitors. Your web hosting servers should comply with all types of ISPs and explorers.

Filed under 700 mHz, AT&T, Editorial, Google, Sprint, T-Mobile, Verizon, VoIP, Wimax, Wireless, fiber by Dr. Dog

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February 20, 2008
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The future of voice from Motorola’s John Waclawsky | @ 3:17 pm

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[...] today, we posted a discussion of where we think wireless telephony is headed on Thirdpipe.com. Here’s a topical 26 minute audio download offering another point of view from Moto’s software [...]

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