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February 10, 2010

Google as the Last Mile Provider?

google logoLets just get to the meat of it ok. Then more after the jump —

Google is planning to launch an experiment that we hope will make Internet access better and faster for everyone. We plan to test ultra-high speed broadband networks in one or more trial locations across the country. Our networks will deliver Internet speeds more than 100 times faster than what most Americans have access to today over 1 gigabit per second, fiber-to-the-home connections. We’ll offer service at a competitive price to at least 50,000 and potentially up to 500,000 people.

From now until March 26th, we’re asking interested municipalities to provide us with information about their communities through a Request for information (RFI), which we’ll use to determine where to build our network.

That’s from the website.

Now notice this is not some high speed to the head end sort of offer. They specifically say FTH. So they intend to go right to the curb. Their testing will test some 50-500k patrons. What is not clear, is that a single site or a mix of smaller sites.

Google goes on to say they will provide —

* Next generation apps: We want to see what developers and users can do with ultra high-speeds, whether it’s creating new bandwidth-intensive “killer apps” and services, or other uses we can’t yet imagine.

* New deployment techniques: We’ll test new ways to build fiber networks; to help inform, and support deployments elsewhere, we’ll share key lessons learned with the world.

* Openness and choice: We’ll operate an “open access” network, giving users the choice of multiple service providers. And consistent with our past advocacy, we’ll manage our network in an open, non-discriminatory, and transparent way.

What I find of particular interest is the commitment to an open transport layer. A place where anyone can play? ISP and Google? If true that would be a game changer in the data transport marketplace. Fact if true it would complete a vision that was the reason that this blog was created for — create an open backbone and permit service providers to battle it out in the marketplace of products and services.

We keep our fingers crossed.

Linky.

Filed under Cloud Computing, FTTH, Google, backbone, competition by Dr. Dog

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June 16, 2009

Did a wake up call ring at Google?

When I first read that Google’s Sergey Brin is leading a tiger team to improve  search in response to the launch of Microsoft’s Bing, I discounted it as a logical move to maintain technical advantage over the latest MS effort. After all, competition is a good thing, and Bing will certainly cause Google to raise it’s own bar a bit. But there’s more to this story than who does search better.

steve-ballmer

Love him or hate him, you’ve got to repect  Microsoft’s Steve Ballmer as a worthy and formidable competitor. When he’s decided to do battle for a business, he typically fights to the death. He’s set his sights on search and the lucrative ad business that Google built, and Google’s finally heard the wake up call in the release of Microsoft’s Bing. Why? Many in the tech media think that Bing may have what it takes to win a few battles. Even if Google management and most of its users do not agree, perception is reality in the marketplace. The perception for many is that Bing is a serious threat to Google’s dominance.

The biggest threat to Google is a change in the behavior of the public; people will expect the search engine to do some of the work for them and to anticipate their needs. Bing’s “decision engine” does provide better search results than Google when it comes to its ability to help searchers narrow down what they are actually looking for. Search for “cell phone” on Bing, and it spits out a list on the left-hand side of deeper results related to cell phones: Shopping; Brands; Buying Guide; Providers; Plans; Accessories; etc. This makes it easy for searchers to find exactly what they are looking for in fewer clicks. The same search on Google leaves users to find their own way — not quite “search overload” as Bing’s ads suggest, but nonetheless Bing provides a stronger search experience for the user. (GigaOM)

Microsoft is a masterful organization when it comes to spinning the perception of the masses in its favor. It’s repeatedly dominated markets with inferior products through skillful manipulation of perception.  I see nothing terribly revolutionary or compelling enough in Bing to break my Google habit. Having said that, Ballmer will work tirelessly to change my mind. While Google will probably maintain technical superiority, it’s not been that good at the obligatory snake oil salesman’s spin. If Ballmer gets his way, the next battle will be over perception rather than actual product quality. In that arena, Microsoft tends to win.

Filed under FTTH, Microsoft by admin

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April 7, 2009

Aussies to do 90% FTTP with open access

fibernhandFirst, let me say that I’m no big advocate of government being in the broadband business. Then again the 100% private model that supports a duopoly hasn’t worked so well either. Facing an quick trip into the dark ages, the Australian lawmakers will build a 90% FTTP network and open it to any and all access providers.  If the government must do it, then this is the correct way.

“The Government has announced it will establish a new company that will invest up to $43 billion over eight years to build and operate a National Broadband Network delivering superfast broadband to Australian homes and workplaces”, said an announcement on the DBCDE website.

Calling it, the “single largest infrastructure decision in Australia’s history”, Rudd said the project would employ up to 37,000 people a year and help stimulate the Australian economy. Private industry would contribute up to 49% of the funds, and the government would sell the company after operating it for 5 years, he said.

The tender process was cancelled as “none of the national proposals offered value for money”. “The Panel noted the rapid deterioration of the global economy had a significant impact on the process”, it said. (whirlpool)

I doubt that the Aussies have any less inefficiency in government than do other nations, so cost overruns and missed deadlines will be the rule in completing the network. Assuming that the wholesale access to the pipe is low, there should be plenty of competition. That will mean big bandwidth and small prices.

Here in the US, we’re throwing away trillions on every imaginable nonsense project while only commissioning studies and micromanaged grants to a duopoly that will do nothing except allow our pols to say they “voted to fix it”.  In in a little less than 19  months, you and I should vote to fix it. We should retire every incumbent in Congress regardless of party.

Filed under FTTH, Overseas by admin

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December 28, 2008

New Lafayette, LA FTTH service makes us green with envy

fibernhandThe residents of Lafayette, Louisiana got tired of trying to get first rate broadband at any price from their local duopoly and the city took matters into its own hands. As with most government run construction projects, time to completion was slow, and likely more costly than it should have been. Never the less, they’ve beat the duopoly not only in time to market, but service level for price as well.

The other day we noted that Lafayette, Louisiana was finally getting close to offering municipal fiber to the home, after years of opposition from local incumbents. Though they’ve been tight lipped on pricing, local papers are now reporting that Lafayette Utilities System will offer triple play bundles ranging from $84.85 to $200, with downstream broadband services ranging from 10Mbps to 50Mbps. Customers on network will communicate with other LUS customers at 100Mbps, notes LUS Director Terry Huval. (DSL Reports)

Filed under FTTH, competition by admin

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September 9, 2008

Holland takes a shot at Gigabit access while the US gets capped

soupnazi.jpg While Comcast has decided to refuse service to you if you use too much, Holland’s access providers move ahead with offering more for less in Gigabit access. How can they do that? It’s simple. Holland’s access providers have already invested in fiber to the home. Adding capacity with fiber is a plug and play upgrade.

In Amsterdam, where they already have a fiber optic network, they’re now thinking about upgrading it to symmetrical speeds of up to 1 GB. On Sept. 10th, fiber optic network owners GlasvezelNet Amsterdam, BBned and InterNLnet will show off such speeds on a live fiber optic network in the Osdorp region. Nearly 40,000 households are connected to this network. Speeds like this are more than enough to offer, say, four parallel HD streams on one connection, something the three companies plan to show off as well.

Such speeds are going to become a reality in places around the planet soon enough, especially in places where fiber broadband is being deployed. Here in the U.S., meanwhile, market leaders such as AT&T and Comcast are proposing the implementation of caps, a move that will only serve to cause problems for innovators.(GigaOm)

If you aren’t angry about this, you should be. Our fine American access duopoly has had a free ride at your expense investing in almost everything except upgrading the last mile connection to you (with the exception of limited FIOS build by Verizon). We’ve all been had by a propaganda machine that is trying to convince us that bandwidth is a limited commodity when the opposite is true. When you vote this November, remember that any support for Network Neutraility is misinformed. Net Neutrality is a cop out that assumes that bandwidth is by its nature scarce and must be rationed. We must open the  market to competition and / or require the duopoly to divest of any business that does not provide access.

Filed under FTTH, Overseas, competition by admin

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August 3, 2008

Ottawa tries DIY FTTP

fibernhand Ottawa, Canada may be the new model for breaking the last mile bottleneck. We’ve heard endlessly about how the telcos who were paid to run fiber to every home by the year 2000 just can’t manage it because it will cost too much. It may be time to take the matter into our own hands.

This may all sound rather abstract, but a trial experiment in Ottawa, Canada is trying out the consumer-owned model for a downtown neighborhood of about 400 homes. A specialized construction company is already rolling out fiber to every home, and it will recoup its investment from individual homeowners who will pay to own fiber strands outright, as well as to maintain the fiber over time. The fiber terminates at a service provider neutral facility, meaning that any ISP can pay a fee to put its networking equipment there and offer to provide users with Internet access. Notably, the project is entirely privately funded. (Although some schools and government departments are lined up to buy their own strands of fiber, just like homeowners.)

The main challenges with this model are economic, rather than technical. Most importantly, ownership has to be made appealing and affordable to consumers. The construction company is using conservative estimates that only 10% of homeowners will sign up and there will be a per-customer cost of $2700. If you assume 50% take-up, then the per-customer cost drops to $1100. Both figures might seem like a lot, but people pay for a variety of improvements to their home — like remodeled kitchens, or a deck — that also cost large sums. (Google)

Here’s what I find most interesting: On the scale of 400 potential connections, deployment cost is $1100 per at a 50% take rate. I’d be willing to bet AT&T has just about that level of investment in deploying Uverse.  Simple math shows that even with the outrageous overhead the telcos carry, they’ll fully recapture a similar investment in less than 5 years even at this tiny scale. Bottom line. We’ve been had by the telcos and a government that has insured their monopoly status. They are not interested in improving service.

I think it’s time for all of us to work locally and build our own. The little 400 home project in Ottawa could be the beginning of a new revolution.

Filed under Duopoly Follies, FTTH, competition by admin

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July 2, 2008

Fiber growth rate outpaces cable and DSL

fibernhandFor the first time the annual growth percentage of fiber outpaced both DSL and cable world wide. Unfortuantely for Americans, this growth is largely be attributed to deployments outside of the US.

“It’s a significant milestone for fiber-optic broadband; where it is available consumers will take fiber over other broadband technologies,” said Oliver Johnson, CEO at Point Topic.  In three to five years it will pass cable, and that it will be about 10 years before it becomes bigger than DSL (Digital Subscriber Line), he said. That is, unless something happens to make it possible for DSL to keep up with bandwidth demands.

Currently there are 42 million fiber broadband users worldwide, compared to 79.6 million cable and 238 million DSL subscribers. “DSL is adding more subscribers than fiber in absolute numbers, but not in percentage growth,” said Johnson. (Network World)

Filed under FTTH by admin

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June 18, 2008

DOCSIS 3 on the way. Verizon boosts FIOS speeds

The big V seems to be determined to be the to dog inthe US speed race. With DOCSIS 3 deployments cagematch.jpgbeginning to take shape, this might be due to a competititve threat formthe cable guys. While the new FIOS speeds would be substadnard in Paris or Korea, it keeps them king of the racetrack here in the US.

Verizon now tops out at 50 Mbps downstream and 20 Mbps upstream up from 30/15 Mbps ($90 or $140 per month, depending on area, with annual contract), while its slowest speed is 10/2 Mbps up from 5/2 Mbps (under $50 per month). Existing subscribers can request the faster speeds, which are available in some cases at no extra cost; in others, the monthly fee is slightly higher.

Since the introduction in the mid-1990s of residential broadband–often used for small-office and home-office connections as well–most places in which wired digital service is available have had either one or two providers, typically the incumbent telephone company and the incumbent cable provider. (PC World)

Now, if we could just get 2 or 3 more competitors into the game, we’d have considerably faster pipes at lower prices.

Filed under FTTH, Verizon, competition by admin

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May 8, 2008

iProvo muni fiber net privatized. A case study against government run networks.

fibernhand iProvo, once touted as a proof of concept for government run networks has gone private. The technically excellent FTTP never managed to grow and was hemorrhaging customers at the end.

The Salt Lake Tribune reports that one of Utah’s two struggling municipal fiber networks, iProvo, is going to be sold to Broadweave Networks for $40.6 million. Broadweave will lease the existing network operations center from the city to service residential and business fiber, while the city continues to use the network for municipal functions. Last December I mentioned the city brought in consultants to find out why the project was losing customers, and discovered it was thanks to incumbents undercutting prices, and poor customer service.iProvo now becomes a private enterprise, which should thrill regional incumbents like Qwest and critics like the Libertarian Reason Foundation, which had consistently targeted the project as an example of government dysfunction. According to the Provo press release, the FTTH network reached some 36,000 residences. However, only 10,300 actually subscribed, and 120 were leaving per month. (Broadband Reports)

While the usual cast of government network advocates are busy formulating reasons for failure, I can tell you the real reason is government itself. I can also predict the gov net advocates will conclude that the problem was not enough money was spent. While there’s no denying a government entity can build anything given a blank check, they are not accustomed to competing for customers. In the end that’s the underlying problem that no amount of taxpayer dollars can fix. Our incumbent duopoly of private access providers isn’t accustomed to competing much either, but they do have shareholders to please. It’s also important to remember that the existence of the duopoly is due to governmental meddling on a colossal scale. Assuming any government entity can improve things by an attempted end run around a beast of government’s own creation is pretty naive.

Filed under Editorial, FTTH, fiber by admin

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March 30, 2008

Lafayette LA self deploys FTTH after battling the duopoly.

david_goliath.jpg Traditionally, local governments have undertaken the delivery of utilities when they have been under served by private enterprise. Traditionally when a monopoly is granted, lobbying of politicians continuously erodes regulation of these monopolies to be done in the public interest. In America, we have a duopoly that is increasingly interested in creating scarcity in open access and using new capacity exclusively for the delivery of proprietary, extra charge services. They defend their “turf” like mafia dons. AT&T and Cox fought hard to end the city of Lafayette, La’s self build of a fiber network, and lost.

The city of Lafayette, Louisiana fought hard against BellSouth and Cox, who tried desperately to scrap voter-approved plans to wire the city with fiber. While residents won’t be getting the promised symmetrical 10Mbps connections and IPTV bundles until next year, the city says they’re planning to offer free local Intranet connectivity to those who plug in to the fiber ring, according to App Rising. (Broadband Reports)

I seriously doubt the duopoly players have accepted the defeat. They’ll be back to try to kill this again, and again. If we had real competition in the marketplace, this would never happen. These companies would then have to focus on offering better faster cheaper instead of political skullduggery.

Filed under AT&T, Cox, FTTH by admin

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